Trump Squanders Convention Bump in AZ

PHOENIX (August 2, 2016) — Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is slightly ahead of Republican nominee Donald Trump in Arizona, according to a recent poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights.

In a survey of 996 likely Democrat, Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Arizona based on projected 2016 general election turnout, Hillary Clinton leads by 3 percent over Donald Trump.

In the last six presidential contests, Arizona was won by a Republican five times. The last Democratic candidate to carry Arizona was Bill Clinton two decades ago in 1996.

"Donald Trump should be winning in Arizona, however the numbers indicate he likely has stifled his momentum since the GOP convention with the comments regarding the Gold Star family," said Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster. "The Presidential race is very close at this point in the election season. It is still surprising that a Democratic presidential candidate would carry Arizona if the election were held today. Arizona should be a reliable red state."

Methodology: Automated survey, August 1, 2016. 2016 general election sample weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. 996 completed surveys, MoE ±3.1%.

Media Contact: Mackenzie Keller — [email protected]