OHPI/ABC15 Poll: Glassman Holds Slim Lead Over GOP Field

Almost Half of Respondents Undecided, the Contest is Relatively Wide-Open

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE — August 22, 2018

PHOENIX (August 22, 2018) – A new poll from OH Predictive Insights shows that the GOP primary for Arizona Corporation Commission is largely wide-open. Surprisingly, Democrat-turned-Republican Rodney Glassman has a slight edge over his fellow Republicans.

OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona (OHPI/ABC15) teamed up to find out the current state of the race for the Republican primary for Arizona Corporation Commission.

"It is a jump ball on who is going to come out on top come August 28th," said Mike Noble, Managing Partner and Chief Pollster at OH Predictive Insights. "The two who can do a better job getting their message out in these final days of the race could propel themselves to the General Election."

Glassman (15.1%) holds a slight advantage although O'Connor (12.5%), Olsen (11.6%) and Forese (11.5%) are well within striking distance. Compared to the rest of the field, Sloan (5.5%) has more of an uphill battle. With so many voters undecided in the contest, it's hard to predict who will finish in the top two.

The chart above is the first vote versus the second vote breakout. If respondents were undecided on the first vote, they branched to the next question. However, if they had a first choice they were asked for their second choice with an option to choose undecided.

Methodology: This IVR telephone survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights in partnership with ABC15-Phoenix on August 14–15, 2018, from a likely Arizona 2018 Republican Primary voter sample. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, geographic location, gender, and age. 89.3% of respondents were Republican and 10.7% were Independent voters. 100% of respondents were completed via landline. Sample size: 578 completed surveys, MoE ±4.08%.

Media Contacts: Annelise Krafft, OH Predictive Insights — [email protected], 480-414-8770 | Chris Kline, ABC15 Arizona — [email protected], 602-685-3055