CD1 Poll: Babeu Solidifies Lead in Crowded Field

Immigration, fiscal issues dominate voter concerns

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE — April 6, 2016

PHOENIX (April 6, 2016) — Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu asserts a strong lead among Republicans in Arizona's 1st Congressional District according to a poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights.

In a survey of 387 likely Republican primary voters, 35.7 percent said they would vote to nominate Babeu if the primary were held tomorrow.

AZ01-GOP Primary 2016 — March 30, 2016 Results

"Sheriff Paul Babeu continues to dominate the crowded CD1 field," Mike Noble, Managing Partner of OH Predictive Insights, said. "Babeu also enjoys a staggering 76.4 percent Favorability rating, 11.6 percent Unfavorable and only 11.9 percent have no opinion of the sheriff among likely primary voting Republicans."

Wes Gullett, Partner in OH Predictive Insights and GOP political consultant, found it surprising that the race is not more competitive at this point. "We are only 118 days from the start of early voting and it is surprising that all the candidates but one are polling in the single digits. Most of these candidates have run for major office and to be stuck under 10% means they will need serious campaign funding to create urgent momentum," Gullett said.

The poll also found voters to be highly engaged on the issues. One fourth of voters (22.5 percent) said fiscal issues — such as taxes, the budget, jobs and unemployment — were the top issues. Another 32.6 percent said immigration issues, including border security and amnesty for illegal aliens, were the top issues. Defense issues (terrorism, military, veterans) placed third at 14.2 percent, followed by values issues at 8 percent, rights issues (guns, privacy, property) at 7.8 percent, and health care at 5.7 percent.

Methodology: This automated survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights on March 30, 2016, from a sample of likely Republican voters from CD-01. Sample size: 387 completed surveys, MoE ± 4.97%.

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Media Contact: Mackenzie Keller — [email protected]