For the First Time, Majority of Voters Optimistic About Next 30 Days of Coronavirus

For the First Time, Majority of Voters Optimistic About Next 30 Days of Coronavirus

For the First Time, Majority of Voters Optimistic About Next 30 Days of Coronavirus 

Share of Voters Willing to Vaccinate Continues to Rise 

 

PHOENIX (March 29th, 2021)- One year into COVID, Arizona voters are confident the worst is over, according to OH Predictive Insights’ most recent Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP).  

With more than 2.5 million doses of vaccine distributed to Arizonans and new daily cases hovering in the triple digits, voters are confident the state has turned the corner on COVID-19. 

In a sharp reversal from OHPI’s January AZPOP survey – when 46% of voters expected the COVID situation to worsen – more voters now expect the COVID situation to improve in the month ahead than at any point since OHPI has been asking the question. 

Arizonans understand the end of COVID is near,” OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble said. They see an impressive vaccine rollout and declining cases. Voters are optimistic the worst of COVID-19 is behind.”  

The AZPOP is a survey of registered voters in the state of Arizona. The survey was conducted from March 8th to March 12th, 2021, included the opinions of 690 Arizona voters, and had a margin of error of 3.7%. 

covid sentiment over 12 months

Among the groups most optimistic about the upcoming month are Republicans (65% expect conditions to improve), voters over the age of 65 (63%), and white voters (57%). Democrats (45% expect conditions to improve), Independents (43%), non-white voters (41%), and voters under the age of 35 (35%) are the groups least optimistic about the upcoming 30 days. 

While voters’ hopes for the month ahead are high, concern over the virus remains high, too. Six in 10 (59%) Arizona voters are extremely or moderately concerned about the spread of the Coronaviruss – statistically equivalent to the share of voters who were at the same level of concern in January’s AZPOP (64%). 

covid concern by party  

As has been the case in every poll OHPI has done on the subject of the Coronavirus since the beginning of the pandemic, voters’ concern about the outbreak is closely tied to their party registration. Democrats are now twice as likely as Republicans to be at this heightened level of concern, with Independents falling in between, as usual.  

Going back briefly to the topic of voters’ expectations for the month ahead, even voters who are extremely or moderately concerned about the pandemic are more optimistic than not about the next 30 days. Nearly half (45%) of voters at the highest levels of concern expect conditions to improve, while one-quarter (28%) expect them to worsen. On the other hand, voters who are not particularly concerned about the pandemic (‘’slightly” or “not at all” concerned) are very positive about the future. Two-thirds (68%) expect things to get better, while only 4% expect them to get worse.  

covid perception by concern

On the topic of vaccine distribution, the share of voters unwilling to take a COVID-19 vaccine continues to fall. In September of 2020, 38% of voters would have refused a vaccine and an additional 23% were unsure if they would. By January of 2021, 25% of voters said they would refuse a vaccine and 13% had yet to make up their mind. Now, only 19% of voters would refuse a vaccine, and 12% are unsure.  

vaccine willingness

“The public’s confidence in the vaccine is increasing as more people get shots and few side effects are reported,” says OHPI Data Analyst Jacob Joss. 

Another optimistic data point found in this month’s AZPOP is the type of people most willing to take (or who have already received) the Coronavirus vaccine. Only 12% of the most vulnerable portion of the electorate – those 65 and older – would be unwilling to take a vaccine. Eight in ten (82%) have been or would be vaccinated. The age groups least willing to take a vaccine were those between the ages of 18 and 34 years old (26%) and 35 and 44 years old (29%). According to the Arizona Department of Health Services, those under 45 make up less than 5% of all COVID-19 deaths in Arizona, while those over 65 represent 75% of Arizona’s COVID deaths, as of March 26th, 2021. 

willingness by age

### 

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 8th to March 12th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 690 registered voters, with an MoE of ± 3.7%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. 

Note: For comparing 2021 data to 2020 data, surveys conducted in 2021 were of registered voters and conducted via an online opt-in panel, while surveys conducted in 2020 were of likely voters and conducted via a phone-based live caller or live-caller/IVR. 

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here 

Media Contacts: 

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837 

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034 

 

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com. 

Arizonans Support Mandating the Pledge of Allegiance and a Moment of Silence

Arizonans Support Mandating the Pledge of Allegiance and a Moment of Silence

Arizonans Support Mandating the Pledge of Allegiance and a Moment of Silence

Voters are Split on Expanding Vouchers

 

PHOENIX (March 25th, 2021)- As the Arizona Legislature finds itself as closely divided as it’s been in a generation, lawmakers are duking it out over several key topics that reach everything from Arizona’s schools to punishments for rioters to a governor’s emergency powers.

“In two chambers where Republicans hold the barest possible majorities and any single Republican Senator or House member can torpedo a bill by siding with the Democrats, public support of a given policy could be a powerful tool,” says OH Predictive Insights Chief of Research Mike Noble.

Of the potential policy issues that were tested, requiring children from kindergarten through the fourth grade to recite the pledge of allegiance in the classroom is the most popular. At the same time, the electorate is much less sure about whether the legislature should be able to limit governors’ emergency declarations.

This data was sourced from OHPI’s Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP).  The AZPOP, conducted from March 8-12, surveyed 690 registered voters in Arizona and had a margin of error of 3.7%.

Order of Popularity for Issues in AZ

A bill that would require kindergarteners through fourth graders to recite the Pledge of Allegiance and a Moment of Silence for students from fifth grade to high school seniors (HB2060) has made it into the House.  While the idea of weaving these mandates into state law proved to be troublesome to some voters, there is stronger support for requiring the Pledge of Allegiance than there is for a Moment of Silence.

Requiring the Pledge of Allegiance has the overall approval of voters (60% support/15% oppose) with a near-unanimous approval from Republicans. Democrats are much more divided in their support as well as Independents for this proposal. Popularity for the Pledge mandate cuts across age as well – voters over 55 years old are more supportive of the policy than younger voters of their same party.

When it comes to the Moment of Silence, 45% back the idea, and 16% oppose it. With less partisan division, 55% of Republicans, 42% of Democrats, and 36% of Independents side with the issue. Women, in particular, were more supportive (49%) while men were less so (40%).

Support for Moment of Silence by Party & Gender

Staying in the classroom but moving to the topic of school vouchers, Arizona voters rejected the expansion of school vouchers when it last appeared on the ballot two years ago. Even still, the school voucher expansion has once again become a topic of debate in the Grand Canyon State. This round comes with a set of bills (SB1452, SB1513, and HB2503) that would vastly expand school vouchers to nearly all students, bringing significant education funding changes.

Arizonans are closely split in their approval for this set of bills (38% support, 30% oppose). Older voters, however, had higher opposition than younger voters. Younger voters of all parties supported the measure in more significant numbers than their more senior party members.

Support for Expanding School Vouchers

Another bill that advanced to the House would create a new crime directed at rioters called “violent or disorderly assembly,” set as a class 6 felony (HB2309). In light of the multitude of protests that have taken place worldwide in the last year, most Arizona voters back this policy. Conservative-leaning demographics (Republican, older, white, rural-residing) hold the strongest support for this new crime and its harsher penalties. There is, however, disparity among Democrats on the issue: 66% of Moderate/Conservative Democrats support this policy while only 37% of Liberal Democrats give their approval.

Support for Making Violent/Disorderly Assembly a Felony

Last but not least is Governor Ducey. The Arizona Senate passed a measure that would limit the Governor’s powers in states of emergency by requiring the legislature’s involvement (S.C.R. 1003). Support for this policy depends mainly on how concerned a voter is about the Coronavirus pandemic. Approval is highest among those least concerned about COVID-19, while those more concerned about COVID-19 are not as eager to back the policy.

Support for Curbing Governor's Emergency Powers by COVID Concern

###

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 8th to March 12th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 690 registered voters, with an MoE of ± 3.7%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here


Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034


About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.

At-Risk Students Should Be Allowed to Test from Home, Say Arizona Voters

At-Risk Students Should Be Allowed to Test from Home, Say Arizona Voters

At-Risk Students Should Be Allowed to Test from Home, Say Arizona Voters

Most Voters Support Allowing At-Home Testing and Waiving 95% Test-Taking Requirement

PHOENIX (March 24th, 2021)- It is an understatement to say that the Coronavirus pandemic has upended the education of Arizona’s students. Remote schooling, Zoom lectures, and online learning have become staples in our education system, while in-person instruction was restricted in order to protect families and school faculty members. Even though thousands of Arizona families were already participating in full-time online school before the pandemic hit, more and more parents have opted for virtual learning in the last year in efforts to maintain the health and safety of their students amidst the spread of the coronavirus. Keeping students and school faculty members healthy and safe while maintaining quality of education is the balance that Arizona voters are looking for. Currently, the state of Arizona requires that 95% of a school’s students take two standardized tests – the AzM2 and the AzSCI – in-person. With all of this in mind, data shows that most voters are willing to make allowances for students to deal with the myriad changes rendered by the pandemic.

OH Predictive Insights was commissioned by Arizona Parents for Education to conduct a poll of 500 registered voters in the state of Arizona on the topic of standardized testing in Arizona. The survey was conducted from March 12th – March 16th, 2021, and had a margin of error of 4.4%.

The survey found that seven in ten (69%) Arizona voters would support allowing students to take standardized tests at home, so long as a teacher supervised them via webcam. This number includes 51% of voters who strongly support the policy — which is particularly popular with women. Overall, three-quarters of women (76%) support the idea. Female support crosses the political spectrum — 91% of Democratic women, 75% of Independent women, and 58% of Republican women all support the policy.

Although the concept performs stronger with Democrats than with Republicans, no major demographic group has higher than 50% opposition. The group that comes closest is Republican men, 47% of whom oppose the policy.

Proponents argue that this policy would allow at-risk children to avoid the exposure that in-person testing may present while not excluding those children from the educational system altogether.

“Our family chose online learning for the very reason that it would allow my son, who is medically compromised, to avoid infection and exposure to illness in a classroom setting, but still afford him the opportunity to learn and participate virtually with his peers. The current testing requirements do not take into consideration those individuals who chose online learning in the first place, for reasons of medical necessity,” says advocate Tara Boedingheimer.

In the event that students will be denied the option to take video-monitored standardized tests from home, OH Predictive Insights also asked Arizona voters whether they would support or oppose removing the requirement that 95% of students in every school take these tests so that students who could be at risk of contracting the coronavirus would be allowed to stay home.

While this proved to be a less popular solution than allowing at-home testing, a majority (54%) of Arizona voters would also be in favor of waiving the requirement that 95% of students at a given school take the tests. Still more popular among women than men, female support fell to 60% for this proposal. A plurality (46%) of Republican women opposed the waiver, even though a majority (58%) supported supervised at-home testing.

###

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an all-live caller phone survey. The survey was commissioned by Arizona Parents for Education and completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 12th to March 16th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 500 registered voters, with an MoE of ± 4.4%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. The survey included questions before the ones mentioned in this release, however, the content of the prior questions could not reasonably be expected to have an impact on the results in the release.

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insightsm.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insightsh.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About Arizona Parents for Education: Arizona Parents for Education is a 501(c)4 not for profit composed of parents committed to protecting and advocating for our children and to ensure they have the tools they need to be successful in Arizona’s online schools, blended learning programs, or the school best fit for their needs. Sometimes due to unique family or individual child’s situation which may include medical concerns, safety issues, or students who aren’t able to be safe or successful in a traditional public school. Contact us for more information at contact@azparents.org.

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.

Sinema’s Independence Costs Democratic Support

Sinema’s Independence Costs Democratic Support

Sinema’s Independence Costs Democratic Support

Support erodes as Sinema stakes moderate claim

PHOENIX (March 22nd, 2021)- As Sen. Kyrsten Sinema cements a bipartisan and maverick approach in the U.S. Senate, Democratic voters back home are giving her low marks.

According to OH Predictive Insights’ most recent Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP), Sinema is walking a fine line in her home state after refusing to support the elimination of the Senate filibuster and her high-profile opposition to including a $15 minimum wage in the recently-passed COVID-19 relief package. These moves have cut into her support, with nearly equal shares of voters holding favorable (39%) and unfavorable (40%) opinions of her.

This AZPOP, conducted from March 8-12, surveyed 690 registered voters in Arizona and had a margin of error of 3.7%.

“Sinema, like John McCain and Barry Goldwater before her, is acting like a maverick,” said OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “Those two lions of the Senate bled support from their own party but attracted plenty of independent voters to ensure reelection every six years. Sinema must hope she can do the same.”

The survey found that Sinema is viewed favorably by just 50 percent of Democratic voters, but 30 percent of her party views her unfavorably. Sinema is upside down with Republicans by 22%. Sinema is more popular among voters over 65-years-old with 50% favorability and 43% unfavorability. Voters 18-34 years old favor her just 25%, while 35% view her unfavorably.

Looking at a voter’s ideology – as opposed to simply their party registration – we find a clearer picture of what drives voters’ lukewarm opinion of Sinema. Liberal Democrats are closely divided over the Senator – less than half (45%) have a favorable view of her, while 40% have an unfavorable one. On the other hand, Sinema is far more popular among Democrats who think of themselves as moderate or conservative, with a favorability rating nearly triple that of her unfavorability.

Crossing the aisle to the GOP side, we find that Sinema is treading water among liberal- or moderate-identifying Republicans, with only a net -4% favorability (40% favorable /44% unfavorable). Still, among conservative Republicans, her unfavorables (59%) are twice as large as her favorables (28%). Among Independents, she’s barely above water at 36% favorability and 34% unfavorability.

What is likely causing the most consternation between Arizona’s Democratic voters and their senior Senator is her vote against including the minimum wage increase in the COVID-19 relief bill recently signed into law. Sinema remains a divisive figure among those who favor a $15 federal minimum wage (42% favorable/37% unfavorable) and those who oppose the increase (36% favorable/47% unfavorable).

As a more traditional Democrat, Mark Kelly’s favorability ratings are more predictable. A positive net favorability of +68% (79% favorable/11% unfavorable) among Democrats is in stark contrast to his Republican net favorability of -51% (21% favorable/72% unfavorable). Independents show +19% favorability (49% favorable/30% unfavorable). Kelly is also more popular than Sinema among those in favor of the $15 minimum wage (69% favorable/18% unfavorable) and is more unpopular among those who oppose it (24% favorable/67% unfavorable).

“Willingness to cross the aisle is always a good trait to have in a general election; however, it remains to be seen if Sinema will pay any price in a primary election for her bipartisan reputation,” said OHPI Data Analyst Jacob Joss.

###

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 8th to March 12th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 690 registered voters, with an MoE of ± 3.7%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.

Larry Fitzgerald Tops Ranking of Potential Statewide Candidates

Larry Fitzgerald Tops Ranking of Potential Statewide Candidates

Larry Fitzgerald Tops Ranking of Potential Statewide Candidates

McCains, Arizona Senators, and Statewide Officeholders also Make Top 10

 

PHOENIX (February 9th, 2021)- As Larry Fitzgerald decides between another year on the gridiron or hanging up his cleats, he might want to consider a career in elected office.

OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) is releasing its first-ever Power Rankings of popular (and sometimes unpopular) figures in Arizona. Fitzgerald, the longtime Arizona Cardinals wide receiver, tops the inaugural list.

Sports figures top the list of most popular potential candidates as 2022 approaches. Next year features the fourth straight election for US Senator as well as open gubernatorial and attorney general offices.

A trio of Cardinals top the OHPI list – Fitzgerald, former QB Kurt Warner and team CEO Michael Bidwill would make the most formidable candidates in the state.

While John McCain, who passed away in 2018, is the highest-ranking Republican (No. 4 overall), Secretary of State Katie Hobbs is the most popular Democrat (No. 5 overall). State Treasurer Kimberly Yee and Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego, both often mentioned for statewide office, clock in at No. 7 and No. 9, respectively.

Given the US Senate’s 50-50 split, Sen. Mark Kelly’s reelection battle in 2022 will have national consequences, and Gov. Doug Ducey faces the end of his maximum two terms. No significant candidate has stepped into the fray for either office yet.

“Every important statewide office, congressional district, legislative district, and a Senate seat will all be on the ballot next year,” says Mike Noble, OHPI Chief of Research. “With that in mind, it’s important to get a sense of potential candidates early. The OHPI Power Rankings do just that.”

OHPI based its Power Rankings on a recent survey that asked voters their opinions of the 50 individuals and what they look for in a statewide office candidate.  Notably, the ranking does not consider an individual’s likelihood to run for office – explaining the presence of Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and John McCain.

Other than name ID and net favorability — which are common indicators of a candidate’s electoral potential – OHPI has developed what it calls a “Demographic and Experience (D/E) Score” to help rank candidates who are relatively unknown to the electorate. OHPI considered a potential candidates’ political party, age, ethnicity, gender, state of birth, several different elected offices they may have held, among a number of other characteristics when assigning this score.

Notice there is very little overlap between the candidates on the “OHPI Power Top 10” list, which emphasizes a potential candidate’s Name ID and favorability, and the “D/E Score Top 10,” which ignores those measures entirely. Candidates who rank higher on the D/E score than low on the power ranking (e.g., Member of the Arizona Board of Regents Karrin Taylor-Robson or former Nogales Mayor Marco Lopez) have the potential to make strong gubernatorial or senatorial candidates if they have the funds to boost their Name ID and keep a positive image among voters.

Links to full OHPI Power Rankings, Name ID, Net Fav, and Demographic and Experience Scores, as well as crosstabs from the poll, can be found below.

###

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from January 11th to January 18th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 1,022 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 3.1%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

OHPI Power Score: This score considers name ID, net favorability, and OHPI’s Demographic and Experience score but puts a greater emphasis on name ID and net favorability than the other measure.

Demographic and Experience Score: This score assigns potential candidates points based on how well their personal characteristics match voters’ preferences. For example, 38% of voters preferred a candidate who is a Democrat; thus, the Democrats got 38% of a point. Thirty-seven percent chose a Republican, so Republicans got 37% of a point – and so on. The following characteristics compose this score: party, political experience, birth state, county of residence/representation, experience as a US Senator, experience as a US Congressman, experience as a Governor, experience as a statewide office, experience as an Arizona State Senator, experience as an Arizona State Representative, electoral record, gender, age, racial/ethnic minority status, and parental status. Party, age, and gender play a larger share in these rankings than the other characteristics.

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here

OHPI Power Rankings, Name ID/Net Fav, and Demographic and Experience Scores

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

 

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.

More than Half of Republicans Think Trump was the “Rightful” Winner in 2020

More than Half of Republicans Think Trump was the “Rightful” Winner in 2020

More than Half of Republicans Think Trump was the “Rightful” Winner in 2020

54% of GOP Voters Believe the Election Was Stolen From Trump

 

PHOENIX (February 8th, 2021)- As Republicans in the Arizona State Senate prepare to go to the mattresses with the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors over an audit of the 2020 election results in the state’s largest county, just six in 10 voters are confident in the outcome of the election.

According to a survey conducted by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) in January 2021 of Arizona registered voters, three in five voters in the state believe Joe Biden is the rightful winner of the 2020 Presidential Election and that the election results are sound. However, small but significant portions of the state believe that the election was stolen from former President Trump and that he is the actual winner of the election.

“Despite a lack of evidence, half of Arizona Republican voters believe the 2020 election was stolen from Trump,” says OHPI Data Analyst Jacob Joss. “There may be no convincing these voters otherwise, even as the voting machines undergo several audits.”

The schism is deepest by party. Just 3 percent of Democrats believe Trump is the rightful winner, as do 20 percent of independents. But more than 50 percent of GOP voters claim that Trump is the rightful winner, while an additional 19 percent are unsure of who won in 2020.

A slightly larger share of Arizonans believes that the election was stolen from President Trump and delivered to President Biden in several states. Half (54%) of Republicans, 22% of Independents, and 8% of Democrats subscribe to this view.

###

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from January 11th to January 18th, 2021, from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 1,022 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 3.1%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Poll toplines and crosstabs can be found here

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.

Get the Latest Public Opinion Insights in Your Inbox

Voter & Consumer Sentiment ❖ Emerging Trends ❖ Predictive Insights