POLL: Biden Maintains Small Lead in Arizona

POLL: Biden Maintains Small Lead in Arizona

Biden Maintains Small Lead in Arizona

Former V.P. Leads Trump by Three Points

PHOENIX (October 27th, 2020)- Vice President Biden still holds a small lead over President Trump in the battle for Arizona’s pivotal 11 electoral votes, according to OH Predictive Insight’s (OHPI) last Arizona Public Opinion Pulse of the election cycle. Biden earns the support of 49% of likely voters to Trump’s 46%.

The poll also shows Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen garnered 3% and only 1% of voters were undecided.

Trump’s strongest support is found among Republicans (88%), men (54%), white voters (54%), and rural Arizona (54%). Biden, on the other hand, leans on Democrats (93%), Hispanic/Latino voters (60%), voters in Pima County (58%), and women (57%) for his strongest support. 

The pool of voters left for candidates to persuade is shrinking by the day, as six in ten respondents said they had already cast their ballots. In fact, less than one quarter (23%) of the voters who had not already cast their ballots said they were waiting to do so on Election Day. In an unusual breaking of tradition, it appears that most Democrats have already returned their ballots while many Republicans are waiting to do so closer to Election Day.

“Republicans are putting their faith in good weather and short lines Tuesday,” says OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “Something as simple as a light drizzle may cost the GOP crucial votes in an already close race.”

In the state’s other race with national consequences, former astronaut Mark Kelly maintains his advantage over incumbent Sen. Martha McSally. Half (50%) of Arizona voters prefer Kelly while 45% prefer McSally.

One of the unique aspects of the 2020 election is the degree to which McSally’s fortunes are tied to the President’s. While John McCain outran the Republican presidential nominee each time he appeared on the ballot with one, it does not appear McSally will follow the trend.

In another divergence from the norm, the Senate race in Arizona is drawing enormous amounts of money. The amount raised by both candidates is dwarfing the amounts raised by the candidates in Arizona’s Senate race just two years ago. At the close of the 3rd Quarter of 2020, McSally raised just over $50 million, compared to just $13 million at the same time in 2018. An even starker difference is Mark Kelly’s $83 million raised in 2020 and Kyrsten Sinema’s 2018 total of $16 million.

Proposition 207, a statewide ballot measure to legalize recreational marijuana, appears poised for passage. The ballot measure is supported by six in ten voters and opposed by just 36%. Large majorities of Democrats and Independents support it, as well as 43% of Republicans.

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Methodology: This poll was conducted as a 100% Live Caller phone survey, 68% cell phones/32% land lines. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) from October 22nd to October 25th, 2020, from an Arizona 2020 Likely Voter sample. The call list is based on the most current Arizona Secretary of State voter file. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education level. The sample size was 716 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 3.7%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. Note: For this poll, OHPI’s last before the 2020 General Election, OHPI transitioned away from our usual methodology. Previous AZPOP’s were used primarily as tracking polls. Because of this, the sample make-up was kept constant from poll to poll in order to more easily identify shifts in mood in Arizona’s electorate. This poll had a different composition – most notably we intentionally increased the shares of Hispanic/Latino voters and non-college educated voters in the survey sample to bring the composition of the sample more in line with what we believe the electorate will look like on Election Day. Not only did we change the composition of the sample for this last poll, we also changed the collection method. We surveyed more than our usual 600 voters in order to obtain a smaller margin of error and a more accurate representation of the election result in Arizona. We also conducted this as a 100% live caller survey, instead of our usual blended live caller/IVR approach.

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights services political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 or submit a request online. 

Biden and Kelly Maintain Leads in Arizona

Biden and Kelly Maintain Leads in Arizona

Biden and Kelly Maintain Leads in Arizona

Support for Ballot Initiatives Surpasses 50 Percent Mark

PHOENIX (October 15th, 2020)- With early ballots being filled out and mailed back to county election offices, former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a small lead against President Donald Trump, according to the latest OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) poll – a statewide likely voter survey.

In the race for Arizona’s 11 electoral votes, Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 4-points. Just shy of half (49%) of Arizonans plan on casting their ballots for Biden while 45% plan to do so for Trump.

The poll marks the first time that Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen was included alongside the two major party candidates and she is the choice of 4% of Arizona voters. While her support is small, it may be pivotal when it comes to determining the winner in November depending on which candidate she pulls more votes from. When voters were then asked to pick only between Biden and Trump, 50% of voters chose Biden and 47% chose Trump.

Another reason why President Trump appears to be struggling in this election is his inability to retain voters who cast their ballot for him in 2016. Less than 9 in 10 of those who voted for Trump in 2016 say they will do so again. Ninety-four percent of 2016 Hillary Clinton voters say they plan to vote for Joe Biden.

Donald Trump is also struggling to win over new voters. Those who voted for a third-party candidate four years ago now support Joe Biden over Trump by a 15-point margin, and voters who either were ineligible or did not vote in 2016 support the former-Veep by 8 points.

“This race appears to be narrowing as ballots start reaching voters’ mailboxes,” said OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “However, President Trump remains in danger of becoming the first Republican in a generation to lose Arizona.”

In Arizona’s hotly contested Senate race, Mark Kelly continues to lead Sen. Martha McSally. The former astronaut earns the support of 50 percent of Arizonans compared to the former fighter pilot’s 45 percent. McSally’s strongest supporters are precisely who one might expect them to be — males (McSally +4), those who live in rural Arizona (McSally +7), voters 55 and older (McSally +11), and whites without a college degree (McSally +12). Conversely, Kelly performs well with females (Kelly +13), Pima County residents (Kelly +22), younger voters (Kelly +18), and whites with a college degree (Kelly +24).

Looking at how voters view the two candidates, the barrage of negative ads on the Arizona airwaves appears to be taking its toll – particularly on Mark Kelly. From September to October, Martha McSally’s net favorability rating fell one point, from -7 (meaning 7% more voters had an unfavorable view of her than a positive one) to -8. Mark Kelly’s on the other hand fell quite drastically. In September, he had a net +17 favorability rating (meaning 17% more voters had a favorable view of him than a negative one), but by October that had fallen to +7.

For much of this campaign and even dating back to her 2018 race, McSally has struggled to lock up the Republican base. Just last month slightly more than three-quarters of registered GOP voters were supporting the Senator and 15% planned to vote for Kelly. Now, she is winning Republicans by 82 points – similar to Kelly’s 84-point margin among Democrats. However, McSally has spent so much time shoring up her base, she has let Independent voters get away. She is losing this pivotal voting bloc by 34 points to Mark Kelly.

“Martha McSally’s base strategy has finally started paying dividends,” said Noble. “However, by playing this game, she has lost major ground with Independents.”

Turning to ballot measures in Arizona, supporters of Proposition 208 – the Invest in Education Act – have a solid but not insurmountable lead over opponents of the measure. More than half (55%) of voters currently would support raising taxes on Arizona’s wealthy in order to increase education funding in the state, while just 39% oppose. Apart from Republicans, who oppose the measure 25% to 67%, no other major demographic is against the initiative. Support is highest among Democrats (Support +71), those aged 18-54 (Support +29), Pima County Voters (Support +31), and females (Support +26).

Proposition 207, on the other hand, is in slightly better shape. Again, 55% of likely voters support legalizing recreational marijuana in Arizona while 37% are opposed. This is a stark difference from last month’s AZPOP which showed support and opposition to the measure statistically tied. However, this shift can be explained by two factors. The first factor being solidifying support among Democrats and Independents for the ballot initiative. Democrats saw a net 15-point increase in support and Independents saw a net 41-point increase. The second factor is a change in the question verbiage that voters were asked. As election day nears, we at OHPI transitioned from asking our normal phrasing of the question to using the official descriptions used by the Secretary of State’s office (see poll report for exact wording).

“Proposition 207 and 208 have both crossed the 50% threshold and over the next 3 weeks must hold their support,” said Noble.

One thing the Presidential, Senate, and propositions along with all other items on the ballot have in common is the upcoming uncertainty that initial Election Day returns will present. There are large disparities in voting intentions between those who say they plan to vote ON Election Day itself versus those who plan to cast their ballots early. Voters who say they will vote on Election Day (either in person or by dropping off their mail-in ballots at a polling place or drop box) overwhelmingly support President Trump and Martha McSally. Those who plan on voting early (either by mail, in-person, or by dropping off their ballot at a polling place or drop box) support Joe Biden and Mark Kelly.

“Historically, Republican candidates hold solid leads after early ballots are counted,” said Noble.  “This year, Democrats are likely to overperform Republicans in Early Ballot returns.”

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Methodology:This poll was conducted as a blended phone survey 45.7% Live Caller/54.3% IVR. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from October 4th to October 8th, 2020, from an Arizona 2020 Likely Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education level. The sample size was 608 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 4.0%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. Note: a change was made in the sampling methodology of the AZPOP between June and July 2020 to better reflect the state of Arizona’s voter composition.

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm,Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insightsprovides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 or submit a request online. 

 

 

 

Phoenix Police Earn High Marks From Voters

Phoenix Police Earn High Marks From Voters

Phoenix Police Earn High Marks From Voters

Most Want an Expanded Police Force

PHOENIX (October 12, 2020)- Despite anti-police rhetoric through a summer of protests across the country, the Phoenix Police Department is viewed positively among the community.

In a poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights, a majority of Phoenicians give the Phoenix PD a passing grade. According to the OHPI survey, 59% of voters say the department deserves an ‘A’ or a ‘B’ while just 15% say it warrants a ‘D’ or an ‘F.’

“The data is clear,” says Mike Noble, Chief of Research at OH Predictive Insights, “Voters in the City of Phoenix appreciate the job their police force does and would feel safer with more men and women in uniform on the street.”

The poll found that nearly six in ten (58%) registered voters living in Phoenix had a favorable opinion of the Phoenix PD. Less than one-quarter of respondents had an unfavorable view of the group. Not only does the city as a whole view the department in a positive light, pluralities of voters of every party, ethnicity, gender, and age group do as well.

There is also a bit of “hometown pride” when it comes to the city’s view of the Phoenix PD. In general, and specifically on the topics of response times, violent crime, and looting/rioting, Phoenix residents believe Phoenix PD does as good or better of a job than departments of other large cities.

Looking specifically at voters who have had an interaction with a Phoenix police officer – only about one-third of city residents claims to have done so in the last 12 months – opinion is overwhelmingly glowing. Two-thirds (69%) of those who came into contact with an officer had a positive experience and just 15% had a negative interaction.

The experience was viewed more positively by older voters, Republicans, and whites, but even among non-whites, younger voters, and Democrats more said it was good than bad. Respondents who had a recent interaction with an officer were then asked to describe the officer(s) they came into contact with. Most said the officer was either helpful or trustworthy, while very few said the officer was with not helpful, rude, or racist.

 Amid recent claims that the police department has too much power and should be ‘defunded,’ most of Phoenix disagrees. More than half (55%) of voters believe that the city would be safer with more officers – an opinion shared by pluralities of voters of all races, parties, and ages.

Providing voters more information about the size of the police department only makes them want even more police. Comparing the size of the police force to those of other comparably large cities, 59% of respondents thought that the department was understaffed. When shown an infographic comparing the stagnant size of the police force in Phoenix to the growing size of the city’s population, the share of those who thought the department was too small grew even larger (63%).

“Phoenix Police officers have a difficult job to do under sometimes very stressful conditions,” said Michael “Britt” London, President of the Phoenix Law Enforcement Association. “It is important we are properly staffed to protect both the community and fellow police officers. We will continue to work with city leaders to find the best ways to increase staffing and provide the needed resources to the Phoenix Police Department.”

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Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from September 17th to October 2nd, 2020, from a City of Phoenix Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, age, region, party affiliation, and ethnicity. The sample size was 900 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 3.3%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. All non-released questions prior to the questions released would not reasonably be expected to influence responses to all released questions. The questions on the poll report contain the exact questions from the survey using the verbiage presented to the respondents.

Media Contacts:

Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Lorna Romero, PLEA, lorna@elevatestrategiesaz.com, (480) 231-8930

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 or submit a request online.

About PLEA: The Mission of PLEA is to promote the positive role of the police profession. To protect and secure members’ rights and benefits through effective representation and professional relationships with the community and local, state, and national governments.

POLL: Schweikert Locked in Close Race Against Tipirneni 

POLL: Schweikert Locked in Close Race Against Tipirneni 

Schweikert Locked in Close Race Against Tipirneni

Congressman Leads Challenger by 3

PHOENIX (October 7th, 2020)- Congressman David Schweikert’s ethics problems are translating in diminished support among voters in Arizona’s 6th congressional district.

Schweikert, a Republican who agreed to pay a $50,000 fine after the U.S. House Ethics Committee investigation into transgressions in his campaign and House office, leads Democrat Hiral Tipirneni 49-46 in a district President Trump won by double digits. The live-caller survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from September 23rd to 27th.

“Rep. Schweikert’s ethics troubles provided an opening for Democrats to take a reliably Republican seat,” says OHPI Chief of Research, Mike Noble. “With an immense spending advantage and a politically wounded sitting congressman, Tipirneni has made this a competitive race.”

One of the drivers behind this district’s newfound competitiveness is its college-educated population. As the most college-educated district in the state, the GOP’s nationwide slide with these voters has been on stark display. Among voters with a college degree, Hiral Tipirneni leads David Schweikert by 5 points. Schweikert is up by 10 points over Tiperneni among those without.

There are also notable divides among other key demographics. Tipirneni leads Schweikert 50% – 47% among women, while Schweikert is up 8 points with men. Schweikert is carrying the suburban portion of the district 51% – 44%, but Tipirneni leads 52% – 43% in the smaller urban portion.

These suburban areas are going to be crucial if Schweikert hopes to win. As seen in the map above comparing Schweikert’s performance in the 2018 US House race and Martha McSally’s performance in the 2018 Senate race – there were a number of precincts that split their tickets for Republican Schweikert and Democrat Sinema, most of which were in the North Phoenix suburbs. Holding on to a number of these suburban centers contributed to Schweikert’s 8-point larger victory than McSally in the district.

Additionally, the presidential race in this district is shaping up to be even closer than the House race. President Trump and Joe Biden are locked in a statistical dead heat, Trump earned the support of 49% of the electorate to Biden’s 48%. The strikingly small (1%) number of undecided voters in the Presidential race here is yet another sign that campaigns are going to need to focus just as much effort on turning out their supporters as they are on convincing people to become new ones.

Another interesting dynamic of the 2020 Election is the partisan divide over mail-in voting. This schism – Republicans favoring in-person methods, Democrats favoring mail-in voting – may also cause some confusion on Election Night. More specifically, the winner of this close race may not be known on election night as ballots continue to be counted. Eight in ten (81%) of Hiral Tipirneni supporters plan on voting early and only 13% plan to vote on Election Day. Inversely, 44% of David Schweikert voters plan to cast their ballots before November 3rd, while 53% say they will do so on the day itself.

“Arizona must be prepared for the fact that many close races may not be known for a number of days after polls close and that the leader on Election night may not be the winner once all votes are tallied,” says OHPI Data Analyst Jacob Joss.

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Methodology: This poll was conducted as a 100% Live Caller Phone survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from September 23rd to September 27th, 2020, from an Arizona CD6 2020 Likely Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education level. The sample size was 531 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 4.3%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Media Contacts: Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm,Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insightsprovides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 orsubmit a request online.

 

Support for Marijuana Legalization Dissipates

Support for Marijuana Legalization Dissipates

Support for Marijuana Legalization Dissipates 

Opinions on Measure Evenly Divided in Arizona 

PHOENIX (September 29, 2020)- Early ballots begin hitting mailboxes in a week, and the citizen initiative to legalize recreational marijuana still has work to do to earn the support of a majority of voters, a recent poll shows. 

 According to a recent Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP), Proposition 207 leads but hasn’t crossed the 50 percent threshold.  

OH Predictive Insights’ monthly poll of 600 likely voters in the state of Arizona found that 46% of the likely voting electorate supports legalizing marijuana for all adult use, while 45% oppose. This result comes on the heels of a July survey showing more than 6 in 10 voters favored the measure. 

“As election day nears, voters appear to be focusing on what’s on the ballot,” says OHPI Chief Mike Noble, “And while the campaign to oppose marijuana legalization is anemic compared to 2016, voters still have concerns about the effort.” 

Some of the largest drops in support levels between the July and September surveys came from older voters, rural Arizona, Independents, and Republicans. Lagging support among these voters contributed to the 29-point drop in the measure’s net statewide support. 

The measure also appears to have lost its appeal to the many suburban voters in Arizona. According to this survey, support is evenly divided among suburbanites. At the same time, it remains high among voters living in urban areas and low among those in the more rural areas of the state. 

Against conventional wisdom, a group of voters who supported the measure in both the July and September survey is parents of young children. Half (50%) of voters with children under 18 at home support legalizing recreational marijuana in Arizona, while 46% oppose it.  

 

“The proponents of legalizing marijuana need to step up and begin spending money to convince voters taking the ultimate leap in approving recreational marijuana is a benefit to Arizona,” Noble said.  

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Methodology:This poll was conducted as a blended phone survey 46.5% Live Caller/53.5% IVR. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from September 8th to September 10th, 2020, from an Arizona 2020 Likely Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education level. The sample size was 600 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 4.0%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. Note: a change was made in the sampling methodology of the AZPOP between June and July 2020 to better reflect the state of Arizona’s voter composition. 

Media Contacts: Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837 
Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034 

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm,Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insightsprovides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 orsubmit a request online.  

 

POLL: Kelly Rebounds, McSally Treads Water

POLL: Kelly Rebounds, McSally Treads Water

Kelly Rebounds, McSally Treads Water

Kelly Leading McSally by 10 in the Grand Canyon State

PHOENIX (September 16th, 2020)- Former Astronaut Mark Kelly opened up a 10-point lead on Sen. Martha McSally in one of the most expensive and closely watched Senate races in the nation.

According to a recent survey by OH Predictive Insights, Kelly earned the support of 52 percent of likely voters in an effort to finish the final two years of the late-Sen. John McCain’s term. In comparison, incumbent-Republican Martha McSally sits at 42 percent.

The Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) – a tracking poll of Arizona likely voters – shows McSally closely tracking President Trump. Dating back to August 2019, OH Predictive Insights has polled both the Senate and Presidential races in Arizona eight times. This September survey is one of only two over that period not to show McSally underperforming Trump. 

“Sen. McSally’s barrage of attacks against Mark Kelly seemed to be working last month,’” says OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “However, Kelly is now deploying his vast war chest to fight back, which is boosting his fortunes.”

Just last month, McSally appeared to be gaining ground against Kelly, narrowing her deficit in the race to only 5 points. The reason behind her brief improvement in August, followed by this September slide, can be explained by looking at the voting intentions of Independents in the state. As we pointed out in our August release, that month’s survey saw noticeable increases in “undecided” Independent voters and decreases in Kelly-supporting independents. Over the past month, however, it appears most of those tentative Kelly supporters have returned to his corner instead of moving further towards McSally.

Another key to Kelly’s strong performance in these polls is his appeal to a small-but-important portion of Republicans. This poll finds that 15 percent of Republicans support Kelly over McSally, while just 6 percent of Democrats are supporting the Republican nominee over their own.

Though these numbers may be disheartening for the McSally camp, looking at the broadcast spending totals in the Senate race shows both sides still believe this is a competitive race. This week (9/12 – 9/18) alone will see more than $6.5 million in ads plaster Arizona’s televisions and radios, according to the ad tracker, Medium Buying. In fact, McSally’s campaign and pro-GOP outside groups, like the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) and the Senate Leadership Fund (run by allies of Mitch McConnell), were projected to outspend Kelly’s campaign and Democratic-aligned groups by almost $250,000 this week.

“National GOP PACs have several seats to defend this cycle,” says OHPI Data Analyst Jacob Joss, “If they thought McSally was a lost cause, they would be cutting bait, not investing in more ads.”

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Methodology: This poll was conducted as a blended phone survey 46.5% Live Caller/53.5% IVR. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from September 8th to September 10th, 2020, from an Arizona 2020 Likely Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education level. The sample size was 600 completed surveys, with an MoE of ± 4.0%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. Note: a change was made in the sampling methodology of the AZPOP between June and July 2020 to better reflect the state of Arizona’s voter composition.

Media Contacts: Mike Noble, OH Predictive Insights, m.noble@ohpredictive.com, (480) 313-1837
Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights, h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034

About OH Predictive Insights: As a nonpartisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-362-5694 or submit a request online. 

About Medium Buying:  Our name Medium is an homage to the fact that media and advertising has become incredibly complicated and fragmented over the last several years. It used to be broadcast TV, cable and radio – now it’s multiple platforms on an array of devices. Today, a good ad buying company is focused on getting powerful creative or content in front of their target audience regardless of the medium it takes to reach them.

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