Methodology

Each poll or date is comprised of a 600 Likely Voter sample stratified to reflect the likely voting electorate in Arizona based on Gender, Age, Region, Party Affiliation, and ethnicity.  A blended survey approach collecting responses using live callers and IVR with the data sourced from the Arizona Voter File.  The margin of error on each survey is +/-4%.  The only difference is that all results in 2018 are based off a 2018 Arizona midterm election likely turnout model while results from 2019 to 2020 is based on 2020 Arizona General Election likely turnout modeling.

Dates Conducted: 7/25/18, 9/5/18, 10/22/18, 2/13/19, 5/1/19, and 8/12/19

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