FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                      August 22, 2018   

OHPI/ ABC15 POLL: Glassman Holds Slim Lead Over GOP Field

Almost Half of Respondents Undecided, the Contest is Relatively Wide-Open

PHOENIX (August 22, 2018) – A new poll from OH Predictive Insights shows that the GOP primary for Arizona Corporation Commission is largely wide-open. Surprisingly, Democrat-turned-Republican Rodney Glassman has a slight edge over his fellow Republicans.

OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona (OHPI/ABC15) teamed up to find out the current state of the race for the Republican primary for Arizona Corporation Commission.

“It is a jump ball on who is going to come out on top come August 28th,” said Mike Noble, Managing Partner and Chief Pollster at OH Predictive Insights, a Phoenix-based research polling company. “The two who can do a better job getting their message out in these final days of the race could propel themselves to the General Election.”

Glassman (15.1%) holds a slight advantage although O’Connor (12.5%), Olsen (11.6%) and Forese (11.5%) are well within striking distance. Compared to the rest of the field, Sloan (5.5%) has more of an uphill battle. With so many voters undecided in the contest, it’s hard to predict who will finish in the top two.

The chart above is the first vote versus the second vote breakout. If respondents were undecided on the first vote, they branched to the next question. However, if they had a first choice they were asked for their second choice with an option to choose undecided.

Methodology: This IVR telephone survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights  in partnership with ABC15-Phoenix (OHPI/ABC15) on August 14 and 15, 2018, from a likely Arizona 2018 Republican Primary voter sample. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, geographic location, gender, and age. 89.3% of respondents were Republican and 10.7% were Independent voters. 100% of respondents were completed via landline. The sample size was 578 completed surveys, with a MoE of ±4.08%.

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Media Contact:

Annelise Krafft, OH Predictive Insights, a.krafft@ohpredictive.com , 480-414-8770

Chris Kline, ABC15 Arizona, ckline@abc15.com, 602-685-3055

About OH Predictive Insights

Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159 or submit a request online.

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