OH Predictive Insight

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: Mackenzie Keller
October 6, 2016 m.keller@owensharkey.com

Arizona is a Statistical Dead Heat for President

Voters Evenly Split Between Clinton and Trump

PHOENIX (October 6, 2016) —Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump are tied among Arizona voters, according to a recent poll conducted by leading behavior research polling company, OH Predictive Insights.

In a survey of 718 likely Democrat, Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Arizona, based on projected 2016 general election turnout, Clinton and Trump are neck-and-neck at 42 percent following their first nationally televised debate.

2016 Presidential Candidates
September 28-30th, 2016 Results
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein

*Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding

On Monday, September 26, over 84 million Americans tuned in to watch the most popular presidential debate in history. “Given the excitement of this election season, voters are paying close attention to the presidential contest,” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster said. “Voters in Arizona are no exception, with approximately 81 percent of likely Arizona voters tuning in to the first presidential debate.”

Among the 81 percent of Arizonans who tuned into the presidential debate, 44 percent of those felt that Hillary Clinton won the debate. Although Arizona voters felt Clinton won, the two candidates are at a dead-lock tie.

Methodology: This survey employed live callers and automated phone messages, which was completed by OH Predictive Insights on September 28-30, 2016, from a 2016 general election sample. Poll was weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. The sample size was 718 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 3.66% with 22% cell phones/78% landlines.


About OH Predictive Insights
With Owens Harkey Advertising’s marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH Strategic Communication’s unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159.