OH Predictive Insight
 

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASEContact: Mackenzie Keller
October 10, 2016m.keller@owensharkey.com

Arizona Ballot Measures Coming Down to the Wire

Marijuana Gaining Momentum, Minimum Wage Stagnant

PHOENIX (October 10, 2016) —In November, Arizona voters will be turning out to polls for Proposition 205 to legalize Marijuana, and Proposition 206 to increase the minimum wage. In a poll recently conducted by leading behavior research polling company OH Predictive Insights (OHPI), results show Prop 205 gaining steam and Prop 206 just above water.

Compared to results from OHPI’s August 28, 2016, poll, Proposition 205 legalizing marijuana has seen similar outcomes, with an approximate 3 percent increase in voter approval for the measure. Compared to the same August 28 poll, Proposition 206 increasing the minimum wage has continued to hover around 50 percent approval, lower than previous publicly released surveys.

Proposition 205
August 28, 2016 Results
September 30, 2016 Results
Yes on 205
40%
43%
No on 205
51%
47%
Undecided
9%
10%

*Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding

Proposition 206
August 28, 2016 Results
September 30, 2016 Results
Yes on 206
52%
53%
No on 206
38%
40%
Undecided
10%
7%

*Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding

“As the heavily funded pro- and anti-marijuana campaigns are well under way, the legalization effort seems to only be half-baked. The pro-legalization team has a lot of work to do to overcome lackluster polling numbers,” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster, said. “Proposition 206 is hovering just above 50%. Frequently initiatives drop the closer Election Day comes and fail due to a surge of negative votes with more conservative Election Day voters.”

The September poll was conducted across 718 likely Democrat, Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Arizona, based on projected 2016 election turnout. This poll was conducted with live callers and automated phone calls.

Methodology: This survey employed live callers and automated phones which was completed by OH Predictive Insights on September 28-30, 2016, from a 2016 general election sample. Poll was weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. The sample size was 718 completed surveys, with a MoE of  3.66% with 22% cell phones/ 78% landlines.

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About OH Predictive Insights
With Owens Harkey Advertising’s marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH Strategic Communication’s unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159.

 

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