Press Releases & Analysis
PHOENIX (March 28, 2019) -The GOP base voters around the country stick like glue to President Donald Trump – everywhere it seems except Utah.
Sen. Mitt Romney bests the 46th president in a hypothetical primary matchup, according to a new OHPI poll released Thursday.read more
A majority of Arizonans favor legalizing marijuana in Arizona, according to a survey conducted by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI). The statewide poll of likely 2020 General Election voters supported legalization by a 52 to 41 margin. While this is the first time an OHPI poll found a majority of voters support marijuana legalization, clear demographic and partisan splits remain among the electorate as it faces resistance from Republicans, women, and older voters.read more
Mark Kelly Keeps the Senate Close as Democratic Contenders Have Low Name ID
PHOENIX (Feb 14th, 2019) –Senator Martha McSally is defending her seat in the upcoming 2020 cycle early polling shows that she currently holds an edge over her two likeliest contenders, though she is under the 50% threshold in each matchup.
While Mark Kelly is the only declared Democrat for the Arizona Senate, there is heavy speculation that Ruben Gallego will also declare.
“Kelly outperforms Gallego in several key areas meanwhile electoral problems for McSally continue to persist, ” said Mike Noble, Chief of Research and Managing Partner of Phoenix-based research company OH Predictive Insights. “Arizona’s most recent Senate race was a barn burner and with this early look we may be in for another.”read more
Arizona is the catalyst for then candidate-now-President Donald Trump where he planted the flag opposing illegal immigration and building a wall along the U.S./Mexico border. Now, with a federal government shutdown, the border wall is the linchpin to open the government back up. OH Predictive Insights and KTAR News teamed up to find out whether or not the general public of Arizona supports the shutdown of the government over the wall – the results were shocking.read more
In 2018, Maricopa was home to a large amount of ticket splitting that delivered Democrat Kyrsten Sinema the victory for U.S. Senate. Republican candidate Martha McSally would go on to win 46.8% in Maricopa while Governor Doug Ducey won 55.8% of the countywide vote, a 9% swing. Below are the main takeaways directly related to ticket splitters and the key to understanding what happened in the Senate race.read more
OHPI analyzed the best industry practices and narrowed them down to the four we find most important.read more
OHPI is adding even more wins to its list after predicting Senator-elect Kyrsten Sinema’s final vote percentage, within the margin of error, and Governor Doug Ducey’s win over David Garcia. read more
The latest poll from OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona (ABC15/OHPI) shows that Martha McSally, Arizona’s Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, has a one-point lead over Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, with 49 percent of the vote.read more
Updates on the Arizona Treasurer, Superintendent, Secretary of State, Attorney General and Governor races.read more
The latest poll from OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona (ABC15/OHPI), conducted October 22 to 23, shows that Martha McSally, Arizona’s Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, has kept her lead over Democratic nominee Kyrsten Sinema, as undecideds break between the candidates.read more